The political dynamics in Maharashtra have intensified as speculation grows over who will be the next Chief Minister following the Mahayuti alliance’s resounding victory in the state elections. The decision is pivotal, given the balance of power among the alliance’s three major constituents: the BJP, the Shinde-led Shiv Sena, and the Ajit Pawar faction of the NCP.
Ajit Pawar’s Support for Fadnavis
Reports indicate that Deputy Chief Minister Ajit Pawar has expressed support for his BJP counterpart, Devendra Fadnavis, as the next Chief Minister. This move could be influenced by Pawar’s historically tense relationship with Eknath Shinde. The friction dates back to the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) government days when Ajit Pawar wielded significant administrative power, reportedly sidelining Shinde. These tensions resurfaced when Shinde split from Uddhav Thackeray’s Shiv Sena, later forming a government with the BJP in 2022.
Ajit Pawar’s backing of Fadnavis also aligns with his strategy to strengthen ties with the BJP, potentially securing greater influence for his NCP faction within the alliance.
Eknath Shinde’s Claim
Meanwhile, Eknath Shinde has staked his claim to the Chief Minister post, highlighting his role in introducing and implementing welfare initiatives like the “Ladli Behna” scheme, which he credits as a major factor in the alliance’s success. Shinde’s Shiv Sena holds 57 seats, a significant but smaller number compared to the BJP’s 133.
The BJP’s Dilemma
With a commanding victory, the BJP has the leverage to push for its leader, Devendra Fadnavis, to reclaim the Chief Ministership. However, balancing alliance politics will be critical:
- For Shinde Sena: Removing Shinde could alienate a key ally, especially given his role in dismantling Uddhav Thackeray’s faction and consolidating the alliance’s power.
- For Ajit Pawar’s NCP: While Pawar has voiced support for Fadnavis, any move perceived as overly favoring the BJP could strain relations within the alliance.
What’s Next?
A final decision is expected after a joint meeting of senior leaders from the BJP, Shinde-led Sena, and Ajit Pawar’s NCP, along with input from the BJP high command. The stakes are high, as the chosen leader will need to maintain alliance cohesion while addressing Maharashtra’s governance and political challenges.
The outcome will likely reflect the BJP’s broader strategy for dominance in Maharashtra while managing the ambitions of its allies—a balancing act that could define the next phase of the state’s political landscape.
