Maharashtra politics has reached a stalemate as the Shiv Sena grapples with a significant revolt, aiming to retain party unity despite a mutiny among its MLAs. In response, the Sena has focused on rallying its loyalists, portraying the mutiny as a betrayal and justifying its alliance with the Congress and NCP, which, according to the rebels, influenced their decision to distance themselves from the party.
Although the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has distanced itself from direct involvement, it reportedly played a role in stirring dissent within the Sena, while the rebel leader, Eknath Shinde, prepares for legal and psychological challenges. The struggle extends beyond legal battles, as the Shinde camp must also contend with the psychological tactics employed by the Sena. Rebels away from Maharashtra face pressure from family, rivals, and supporters, making loyalty tests a real factor.
The Sena, led by Uddhav Thackeray, has strategically targeted only 16 of the 38 dissident MLAs for disqualification, signaling that it might expect some members to return. Those deemed susceptible to changing sides are reportedly in touch with Sena leaders as they weigh the sentiment within their constituencies, where protests against them are ongoing. Families of these MLAs face security concerns, which could sway some to reconsider their stance.
The Shinde faction’s prolonged stay and entanglement in legal issues could strengthen the Sena’s psychological warfare, as the dissenters might struggle to maintain unity under mounting pressures and potential setbacks.
